Executive summary

“Nghệ Thuật Suy Nghĩ Rõ Ràng” là một cuốn sách hướng dẫn độc giả nhận biết và loại bỏ 99 lỗi suy nghĩ phổ biến trong cuộc sống hàng ngày. Tác giả Rolf Dobelli, một nhà văn người Thụy Sĩ, trình bày những sai lầm tư duy được khoa học nhận thức và tâm lý học xã hội chứng minh, chia sẻ những ví dụ thực tế và cách thức chúng ảnh hưởng đến quyết định và hành động của con người.

Cuốn sách này phù hợp với bất kỳ ai muốn nâng cao khả năng tư duy, đưa ra quyết định sáng suốt và sống một cuộc đời hạnh phúc hơn.

Key takeaways

  • Nhận biết lỗi suy nghĩ: Hiểu rõ 99 lỗi suy nghĩ phổ biến giúp bạn nhận biết và tránh mắc phải những sai lầm trong tư duy.
  • Phân tích logic: Sử dụng logic và phân tích để kiểm tra những niềm tin và suy luận của bản thân, tránh bị ảnh hưởng bởi cảm xúc và thiên kiến.
  • Kiểm soát cảm xúc: Nhận thức được tác động của cảm xúc lên suy nghĩ và quyết định, học cách kiểm soát cảm xúc để đưa ra lựa chọn sáng suốt.
  • Tìm kiếm thông tin: Luôn trau dồi kiến thức, tìm kiếm thông tin chính xác và đa chiều để đưa ra quyết định sáng suốt.
  • Hoạt động hiệu quả: Loại bỏ những hành vi tiêu cực như trì hoãn, dựa dẫm vào người khác, hay chạy theo sự nổi tiếng.
  • Tập trung vào bản thân: Đừng so sánh bản thân với người khác, hãy tập trung vào những giá trị bản thân và phát triển bản thân.
  • Sống trọn vẹn: Hãy trân trọng hiện tại, tận hưởng cuộc sống và tránh những hành động lãng phí thời gian và năng lượng.

TOC

Introduction

Chapter 1. Why You Should Visit Cemeteries: Survivorship Bias

Chapter 2. Does Harvard Make You Smarter?: Swimmer’s Body Illusion

Chapter 3. Why You See Shapes in the Clouds: Clustering Illusion

Chapter 4. If Fifty Million People Say Something Foolish, It Is Still Foolish: Social Proof

Chapter 5. Why You Should Forget the Past: Sunk Cost Fallacy

Chapter 6. Don’t Accept Free Drinks: Reciprocity

Chapter 7. Beware the “Special Case”: Confirmation Bias (Part 1)

Chapter 8. Murder Your Darlings: Confirmation Bias (Part 2)

Chapter 9. Don’t Bow to Authority: Authority Bias

Chapter 10. Leave Your Supermodel Friends at Home: Contrast Effect

Chapter 11. Why We Prefer a Wrong Map to None at All: Availability Bias

Chapter 12. Why “No Pain, No Gain” Should Set Alarm Bells Ringing: The It’ll-Get-Worse-Before-It-Gets-Better Fallacy

Chapter 13. Even True Stories Are Fairy Tales: Story Bias

Chapter 14. Why You Should Keep a Diary: Hindsight Bias

Chapter 15. Why You Systematically Overestimate Your Knowledge and Abilities: Overconfidence Effect

Chapter 16. Don’t Take News Anchors Seriously: Chauffeur Knowledge

Chapter 17. You Control Less Than You Think: Illusion of Control

Chapter 18. Never Pay Your Lawyer by the Hour: Incentive Super-Response Tendency

Chapter 19. The Dubious Efficacy of Doctors, Consultants, and Psychotherapists: Regression to Mean

Chapter 20. Never Judge a Decision by Its Outcome: Outcome Bias

Chapter 21. Less Is More: Paradox of Choice

Chapter 22. You Like Me, You Really, Really Like Me: Liking Bias

Chapter 23. Don’t Cling to Things: Endowment Effect

Chapter 24. The Inevitability of Unlikely Events: Coincidence

Chapter 25. The Calamity of Conformity: Groupthink

Chapter 26. Why You’ll Soon Be Playing Mega Trillions: Neglect of Probability

Chapter 27. Why the Last Cookie in the Jar Makes Your Mouth Water: Scarcity Error

Chapter 28. When You Hear Hoofbeats, Don’t Expect a Zebra: Base-Rate Neglect

Chapter 29. Why the “Balancing Force of the Universe” Is Baloney: Gambler’s Fallacy

Chapter 30. Why the Wheel of Fortune Makes Our Heads Spin: The Anchor

Chapter 31. How to Relieve People of Their Millions: Induction

Chapter 32. Why Evil Is More Striking Than Good: Loss Aversion

Chapter 33. Why Teams Are Lazy: Social Loafing

Chapter 34. Stumped by a Sheet of Paper: Exponential Growth

Chapter 35. Curb Your Enthusiasm: Winner’s Curse

Chapter 36. Never Ask a Writer If the Novel Is Autobiographical: Fundamental Attribution Error

Chapter 37. Why You Shouldn’t Believe in the Stork: False Causality

Chapter 38. Why Attractive People Climb the Career Ladder More Quickly: Halo Effect

Chapter 39. Congratulations! You’ve Won Russian Roulette: Alternative Paths

Chapter 40. False Prophets: Forecast Illusion

Chapter 41. The Deception of Specific Cases: Conjunction Fallacy

Chapter 42. It’s Not What You Say, but How You Say It: Framing

Chapter 43. Why Watching and Waiting Is Torture: Action Bias

Chapter 44. Why You Are Either the Solution—or the Problem: Omission Bias

Chapter 45. Don’t Blame Me: Self-Serving Bias

Chapter 46. Be Careful What You Wish For: Hedonic Treadmill

Chapter 47. Do Not Marvel at Your Existence: Self-Selection Bias

Chapter 48. Why Experience Can Damage Your Judgment: Association Bias

Chapter 49. Be Wary When Things Get Off to a Great Start: Beginner’s Luck

Chapter 50. Sweet Little Lies: Cognitive Dissonance

Chapter 51. Live Each Day as If It Were Your Last—but Only on Sundays: Hyperbolic Discounting

Chapter 52. Any Lame Excuse: “Because” Justification

Chapter 53. Decide Better—Decide Less: Decision Fatigue

Chapter 54. Would You Wear Hitler’s Sweater?: Contagion Bias

Chapter 55. Why There Is No Such Thing as an Average War: The Problem with Averages

Chapter 56. How Bonuses Destroy Motivation: Motivation Crowding

Chapter 57. If You Have Nothing to Say, Say Nothing: Twaddle Tendency

Chapter 58. How to Increase the Average IQ of Two States: Will Rogers Phenomenon

Chapter 59. If You Have an Enemy, Give Him Information: Information Bias

Chapter 60. Hurts So Good: Effort Justification

Chapter 61. Why Small Things Loom Large: The Law of Small Numbers

Chapter 62. Handle with Care: Expectations

Chapter 63. Speed Traps Ahead!: Simple Logic

Chapter 64. How to Expose a Charlatan: Forer Effect

Chapter 65. Volunteer Work Is for the Birds: Volunteer’s Folly

Chapter 66. Why You Are a Slave to Your Emotions: Affect Heuristic

Chapter 67. Be Your Own Heretic: Introspection Illusion

Chapter 68. Why You Should Set Fire to Your Ships: Inability to Close Doors

Chapter 69. Disregard the Brand New: Neomania

Chapter 70. Why Propaganda Works: Sleeper Effect

Chapter 71. Why It’s Never Just a Two-Horse Race: Alternative Blindness

Chapter 72. Why We Take Aim at Young Guns: Social Comparison Bias

Chapter 73. Why First Impressions Are Deceiving: Primacy and Recency Effects

Chapter 74. Why You Can’t Beat Homemade: Not-Invented-Here Syndrome

Chapter 75. How to Profit from the Implausible: The Black Swan

Chapter 76. Knowledge Is Nontransferable: Domain Dependence

Chapter 77. The Myth of Like-Mindedness: False-Consensus Effect

Chapter 78. You Were Right All Along: Falsification of History

Chapter 79. Why You Identify with Your Football Team: In-Group Out-Group Bias

Chapter 80. The Difference between Risk and Uncertainty: Ambiguity Aversion

Chapter 81. Why You Go with the Status Quo: Default Effect

Chapter 82. Why “Last Chances” Make Us Panic: Fear of Regret

Chapter 83. How Eye-Catching Details Render Us Blind: Salience Effect

Chapter 84. Why Money Is Not Naked: House-Money Effect

Chapter 85. Why New Year’s Resolutions Don’t Work: Procrastination

Chapter 86. Build Your Own Castle: Envy

Chapter 87. Why You Prefer Novels to Statistics: Personification

Chapter 88. You Have No Idea What You Are Overlooking: Illusion of Attention

Chapter 89. Hot Air: Strategic Misrepresentation

Chapter 90. Where’s the Off Switch?: Overthinking

Chapter 91. Why You Take On Too Much: Planning Fallacy

Chapter 92. Those Wielding Hammers See Only Nails: Déformation Professionnelle

Chapter 93. Mission Accomplished: Zeigarnik Effect

Chapter 94. The Boat Matters More Than the Rowing: Illusion of Skill

Chapter 95. Why Checklists Deceive You: Feature-Positive Effect

Chapter 96. Drawing the Bull’s-Eye around the Arrow: Cherry Picking

Chapter 97. The Stone Age Hunt for Scapegoats: Fallacy of the Single Cause

Chapter 98. Why Speed Demons Appear to Be Safer Drivers: Intention-to-Treat Error

Chapter 99. Why You Shouldn’t Read the News: News Illusion

Epilogue

Acknowledgments

A Note on Sources

About the Author

Credits

Copyright

About the Publisher